Who replaces Anwar in Kajang by-election?

Until the court's guilty verdict on Anwar Ibrahim yesterday, PKR had been experiencing increasing sporadic palpitations with each passing day as the voters' feedback were analysed. Anwar was no doubt still going to win but with very much reduced majority compared to Lee Chin Cheh's. That just would not do! In fact it would have been disastrous for his reputation.

Perhaps PKR heard that mahjung sets were already being readied for voting day, wakakaka. And who was to be blamed for Kajang voters gradually losing their interests?

'Twas none other than the clowns in the circus called PKR - they were character-assassinating themselves everyday to the dismay of their supporters and to the immense delight of BN people.

My visitor Abdul Rahman who had worked with Anwar Ibrahim before had forecast that Anwar, on seeing the major obstacles ahead in his hopeful trek towards the MB post, namely, a defiant Khalid Ibrahim, an unhappy PAS (Selangor) and possibly the Palace, might withdraw. Abdul Rahman's prediction has come true though not for the reasons he had forecast.

Back to PKR prior to Anwar's conviction - Some worried about the weakening support for Anwar and diminishing interests in the polls (though Anwar would have still won) must have beseeched the gods for good fortune. With the involuntary sembelih of Anwar Ibrahim at the judicial altar, their pleas have been answered.

Now it's believed that PKR will win in Kajang on 23 March 2014, and very comfortably!

But who is to be the new PKR candidate to be nominated on Tuesday?

Three names were offered, namely (i) Nurul Izzah, (ii) Rafizi Ramli and (iii) Nasution Saifuddin. Do you know of more? [This question doesn't have to be answered by looes74 who in his silly way is likely to propose DAP's Teresa Kok].

Now, before answering this question, just take a step backwards to review the true reason for The Kajang Betrayal - I believe and many others do as well, that PKR's high falutin' bullshit for creating an unnecessary by-election in Kajang were just what they were, bullshit! The true aim had been to move Khalid aside to make way for someone, not so much Anwar, though for DAP to support PKR's new MB, it has to be (at least on the surface) Anwar.

With this in mind, will Nurul Izzah serve that 'aim'? Of course not, so it's most likely there will be strong internal PKR objections to her nomination. Besides, she's only a tender chook in her sweet 30's, hardly a suitable candidate to be MB and one who may cause PAS to choke on their mi soto, wakakaka.

G is good but you still need other right chords

Saifuddin - if the original 'aim' is to be achieved, nah! Do you believe for a second that PAS and DAP will support him being MB? Besides, he was rejected by voters in Kulim, thus hardly a strong candidate.

Mind you, of the three proposed PKR candidates he's the only one without a MP or ADUN position - kesian saja, but to overcome his current political destitution, he must first mohon ampun from Dr Syed Husin for what he naughtily did at APCET II, and then mandi bunga, wakakaka.

Rafizi Ramli - a member of the PKR 'inner coterie' and one who may possibly achieve the original 'aim', BUT, yes a big BUT, will PAS accept this rather junior chap as MB? Unlikely though DAP may and I'll give my reason for this belief later.

PAS Selangor harbours both ambition to lead the state government and resentment at being placed second to PKR when it has more ADUNs than PKR.

Boy, would PAS have been insufferably arrogant if it had also won Kota Damasara which it thought it could, thus leading it to treacherously field Ridzuan Ismail against PSM's Nasir Hashim and UMNO's Halimaton Saadiah Boha, a sabotaging of PSM in a 3-corner contest which resulted in UMNO winning that seat - otherwise UMNO would have only 11 ADUNs, wakakaka.

And PAS would have provided obstacles to even Anwar's bid for the MB position if Manmanlai were to win Kajang.

You see, poor angry PAS (with 15 ADUNs) has been gritting its teeth and suffering in smothering silence as it sees Khalid Ibrahim gradually going about his lonesome solo self on such important state matters as the RM10 billion water agreement and god-knows-what's-next. Aiyah, if only DAP doesn't support PKR.

That Selangor PAS is being led by the ulama faction hasn't and won't endear it to DAP which, due to its own disqualification from the MB position, prefers a PKR Malay to be the MB,

..... which has been why I venture to say DAP would rather have a young Rafizi as the state MB rather than PAS Iskandar Abdul Samad. And DAP's 15 plus PKR's 14 is greater than PAS' 15 plus UMNO's 12, wakakaka.

So now how?

Don't forget Khalid Ibrahim is still around as The Most Royal-Loyal MB, wakakaka.

Though Khalid is now viewed with some suspicion by DAP, not so much because of the froggy rumours but more because Khalid is seen as a bloke who doesn't work as a member of a (Pakatan) team but all by his lonesome self, believing the state of Selangor is like his old Guthrie conglomerate - in short as a MB, he is a loose cannon in Pakatan who has been said not to consult his Pakatan partners on state issues.

Will DAP stick by him as the lesser of the two evils (loose cannon versus hudud cannon), or dump him for Rafizi or Nurul (both young as they may be) as the new MB, assuming of course that HRH agrees and approves? We're assuming one of them becomes the new candidate for Kajang.

Again as I say, DAP's 15 plus PKR's 14 is greater than PAS' 15 plus UMNO's 12, wakakaka so PAS can get stuff.

And for young Nurul as a compromise MB (assuming DAP abandons Khalid as too loose a cannon), it'll be good training for her as a future PM in say, about 15 years time.

But alas, if Nurul is the new Kajang-cum-MB candidate, I doubt all PKR's 14 will stand behind her for either Kajang or MB, wakakaka.

Whoa, wait a minute, did I miss out someone? Wakakaka. I believe he's not accepted by either PAS or DAP or even some of his PKR colleagues, wakakaka.

(L) the MP, (R) the ADUN

wakakakaka

What about recalling a reluctant Dr Wan or a retired Dr Syed Husin?

Or, why not suggest Muhammad Muhammad, wakakaka. After all, Anwar thinks so highly of him, wakakaka, considering he (Mx2) had asserted that the real victim in the sodomy case against Anwar was Saiful Bukhari Azlan. Mx2 had said:

"But now it looks like someone else has become the victim and people do not care about Saiful and his family. We should defend him because he was the one who was assaulted."

a good Pakatan MB for Selangor?
though not fluent in English he's an ace with money matters

wakakaka

Interesting times for us, especially when it's a virtual shoo-in for the new PKR candidate.