Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Lessons of Afghanistan for Malaysia







Andrew Sia

COMMENT | Blowback. The unintended bad results of political actions. That’s something being discussed a lot for the 20th anniversary of 9/11. Is it relevant for Malaysia too?

When America launched its "War on Terror" against Afghanistan in 2001, could it have imagined how it would all end in a chaotic and humiliating withdrawal? Maybe it should have studied its own 9/11 history.

After all, the CIA had supported brutal Muslim warriors called the mujahideen in Afghanistan during the 1980s. A senior official boasted that the plan was to get the Soviet Union bogged down in its own “Vietnam”.

One of the mujahideen was - Osama bin Laden himself, who later turned against the United States in a spectacular example of blowback.

Did the United States go to war to liberate Afghan women? Old photos of 1960s Kabul show that women were already wearing skirts and going to university then. Then came the communist government, who was bad at making money but usually much better at empowering women - just ask the loud, outspoken ladies of China.

But the conservative, rural mujahideen that the US supported didn’t like these liberal urban women. (See old photos here.)



Sadly, the US repeated its old mistake of teaming up with ruthless folks. In 2001, it chose violent Afghan warlords from the Northern Alliance as allies to oust the Taliban.

Human Rights Watch pointed out that persistent abuses by these warlords fuelled widespread resentment and helped the Taliban get new support/recruits.

Here’s another unexpected consequence from the war on terror - the fear mongering against Muslims (and other migrants) of the “war on terror” would serve as fuel for white supremacists and the rise of Donald Trump.

There is a fascinating New York Times (NYT) article entitled 'How Sept 11 gave us Jan 6', with the latter date referring to the storming of the US Congress by mobs who believed that Trump had been “robbed” of the election.

Cracks in Malaysia

Muslims in Malaysia have long been saddened to hear about such bias against their faith from right-wing Americans. But what do they feel when certain leaders spew toxic words against non-Muslims here?

In 2016, the Pahang mufti Abdul Rahman Osman called DAP “kafir harbi” - infidels which Muslims are “allowed” to kill. He was never punished for it. In fact, he’s still the mufti today. How do his words affect the long-term unity and strength of our country?

The Sultan of Pahang, who is the head of Islam in the state, was asked to say something about this, but there is no news report that he did so.

After the fall of BN in 2018, Umno and PAS went on a sustained hate campaign that Pakatan Harapan was a “threat” to Malays/Muslims as it was supposedly “controlled” by the “Chinese/Christian DAP” (haha, can anyone control Dr Mahathir Mohamad?).

Meanwhile, when Sabahans and Sarawakians come to the Klang Valley, they can see all the glorious highways and MRT trains while many in the interior of their states still struggle to get basic roads. Can we blame them if they feel like the step-children of the country?.

All these racial, religious, and regional cracks in our nation are what the Malay proverb calls retak menanti belah. Will they split apart during the next great crisis? For example, if there is a big economic meltdown, will the little embers for East Malaysian independence suddenly start burning brighter? That’s the risk of blowback.

Politicians in many democracies tend to focus mainly on short-term gains. After all, they may be out of office at the next elections. So rather than thinking of their country’s strategic vision over the next 30 years, all too often they prefer to boost their own power and pockets over the next 30 months.

It’s worth recalling that every member of the US Congress (Parliament), both in the House and Senate, voted YES to the war in Afghanistan. Except for one black lady, Barbara Lee of Oakland, California.



Osama bin Laden

But after 20 years, it was Osama bin Laden who actually won the war - after his death - because America hurt itself with the wrong 9/11 responses. This is the verdict of multiple American commentators, be it filmmaker Michael Moore and NYT columnists or even the Brookings Institution, which laments that the US has become “weaker, more divided, and less respected”.

Playing with fire

Do we think that we are stronger than America? What will happen when our small nation of modest means becomes “weaker, more divided, and less respected”? We already have such deep-seated suspicions that a simple disagreement over three pages of Jawi lessons in 2019 could be inflamed into a national crisis.

It’s often said that those who sow the wind, shall reap the whirlwind. Short-sighted politicians who manipulate fears and hatreds - both in America or Malaysia - may think that they are “smart”. But they are playing with fire. Even the world’s greatest superpower will weaken when their blue and red camps detest each other.

Hopefully, the latest cooperation between the ruling government and Pakatan Harapan over political reforms will lead us towards some national reconciliation. As the Yang di-Pertuan Agong advised, politicians should not gamble with the country’s future to achieve their own agenda.

But there is another big lesson from Afghanistan - corruption. It’s been said that the real motive for the never-ending war on terror was never about “democracy” and “women’s rights” but about enriching weapons makers.



One big reason for the US defeat was that it condoned high-level corruption. John Sopko, the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, said that no one could expect the Afghan forces to fight if their salaries weren’t paid, they didn't have food, and their ammunition and vehicle fuel were stolen by corrupt officials.

The Economist magazine writes that troops were often commanded by politicians’ incompetent relatives. Customs officials, police and clerks routinely demand baksheesh (“tips”).

Afghans soon grew furious at government corruption and more welcoming towards the Taliban. This was the same reason that South Vietnam fell.



It could cost US$100,000 to become a district police chief in Afghanistan. And officials were not interested in curbing crime, but to extort revenue. During the Taliban’s final offensive, the state had grown so corrupt that most of its governors cut deals to switch sides.

We are told that our armed forces are far more competent than that. Yes, I agree. For now. But will cases of dubious submarines, missing jet engines, and controversial helicopters become worse in the future? How will this affect morale?

Actually, we don’t have to wait so long because former inspector-general of police Hamid Bador revealed in March that our police have a “culture of taking money from the bottom to the top”.

So be careful of blowback. Malaysian leaders should learn from Afghanistan when they choose to play with racial politics or allow corruption to fester. These are like termites slowly, silently eating away at our home. If the rot continues, don’t be surprised if something collapses suddenly.



11 comments:

  1. And today 5000 yo Bullyland is making the same mistake....again? Fren fren with Cruel and Zalim Telly-ban when everyone else cabut...?

    But we must be careful of "Modern Mao Doctrine", aka Belt You Down My Road, copying the Monroe Doctrine of 1823, but 200 years too late, to draw dash lines all over Asia, Africa, Europe.....Semua Bully Punya

    QUOTE
    The Taliban get a Chinese friend
    Savio Rodrigues
    September 4, 2021

    Dealing with a global crisis like Afghanistan allows China to tell the world that it has the political ambition to work with the Taliban and also tame the Taliban to its terms.

    Taliban has found a new friend in need. Only time will tell whether it is a friend indeed.

    In a recent press conference, Taliban spokesperson, Zabihullah Mujahid, said, “China is our most important partner”. He further stated that the Taliban support China’s One Belt, One Road initiative that seeks to link China with Africa, Asia and Europe through an enormous network of ports, railways, roads and industrial parks. Mujahid said, “China is our most important partner and represents a fundamental and extraordinary opportunity for us because it is ready to invest and rebuild our country.

    Interestingly, the Taliban spokesperson also elucidated that it is looking at China to rebuild Afghanistan and exploit its rich copper deposits. “There are rich copper mines in the country, thanks to the Chinese, can be put into operation and modernized. In addition, China is our pass to markets all over the world.”
    UNQUOTE

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Wakakakakaka…

      Blurred mfer still dreaming about its Taliban1.0 to vent it's fart!

      Keep dreaming & don't wake up too soon.

      Delete
  2. Lessons of Kampuchea for 5000 yo Bully.

    Afghanistan could become the next Killing Fields like Kampuchea in the 70s, then with the sapot of 5000 yo Bully, if the Telly-ban start hunting and killing whoever they don't like.

    QUOTE
    Afghanistan crisis: Taliban kill civilians in resistance stronghold

    The BBC has found that at least 20 civilians have been killed in Afghanistan's Panjshir Valley, which has seen fighting between the Taliban and opposition forces. Communications have been cut in the valley, making reporting difficult, but the BBC has evidence of Taliban killings despite promises of restraint.

    Footage from a dusty roadside in Panjshir shows a man wearing military gear surrounded by Taliban fighters. Gunfire rings out and he slumps to the ground.

    It is not clear if the man killed was an army member - combat uniforms are common in the region. In the video a bystander insisted he was a civilian.

    The BBC has established there have been at least 20 such deaths in Panjshir.

    One of the victims was a shopkeeper and father-of-two called Abdul Sami.

    Local sources said the man would not flee when the Taliban advanced, telling them: "I'm just a poor shop owner and have nothing to do with war."

    But he was arrested, accused of selling sim cards to resistance fighters. Days later his body was dumped near his home. Witnesses who saw his body said it showed signs of torture.

    Footage shows the killing of a man in Afghanistan's Panjshir province
    image captionMoments later the man circled gets shot dead
    When the Taliban swept to power last month, just one region held out.

    The Panjshir Valley has long been a focal point for resistance in Afghanistan. Under the opposition commander Ahmad Shah Massoud, the region repelled both the Soviet forces and the Taliban. Mountain peaks surround the valley making it difficult for anyone trying to capture it.

    Massoud's son Ahmad led the resistance against the Taliban the second time they took control of Afghanistan, but last week the militant group declared victory, posting footage of their fighters raising their flag.

    The resistance forces have vowed to fight on, with Ahmad Massoud calling for a "national uprising" against the Taliban.

    Now attention is turning to what happens next in Panjshir, as elsewhere in Afghanistan, with the Taliban back in charge.

    When the Taliban entered the valley, they encouraged residents to carry on as normal.

    Map of Panjshir Valley in Afghanistan
    "They should come out, do their daily activities," said a spokesman, Malavi Abdullah Rahamani.

    "If they are shopkeepers they can go to their shops. If they are farmers, they can go to their farms. We are here to protect them, their lives and their families."

    But instead of this, footage from the ground shows once-busy marketplaces deserted. People have been trying to flee, with long lines of vehicles forming below the valley's craggy peaks.

    There have been warnings of shortages of food and medicine.
    UNQUOTE

    ReplyDelete
  3. Despite being kicked out of Afghanistan and with no local presence 500 yo Bully still donates $64 million in emergency aid, France 118 million, so generous. UN in total pledge 1 billion.

    However, New Telly-ban BFF, 5000 yo Bully, with local embassy donate only $31 million and shout from mountain-top. And in UN Security Council Veto This Veto That, Don't Want Safe Zones in Afghanistan, So How to safely deliver aid?

    QUOTE
    13 Sep 2021

    Donors have pledged more than a billion dollars to help Afghanistan, where poverty and hunger have spiralled since the Taliban took power, and foreign aid has dried up, raising the spectre of a mass exodus.

    UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, speaking during a donor conference in Geneva on Monday, said it was impossible to say how much of the money had been promised in response to an emergency UN appeal for $606m to meet the most pressing needs of the country.

    After decades of war, suffering and insecurity, Afghans are facing “perhaps their most perilous hour”, Guterres said in his opening remarks to the conference, adding that “the people of Afghanistan need a lifeline. “The financial system at the moment is extremely limited, which means that a number of basic economic functions cannot be delivered,” Guterres said.

    Al Jazeera’s Diplomatic Editor James Bays, reporting from Geneva, said that while the UN chief was “very pleased” with the response of the international community, he said the prospect of an economic collapse was a “serious possibility”.

    He said food could run out by the end of this month, and the World Food Programme said 14 million people were on the brink of starvation....

    ....Guterres said it was “impossible” to provide humanitarian assistance inside Afghanistan without engaging with the Taliban. It was “very important to engage with the Taliban at the present moment”, Guterres told journalists on the sidelines of the conference.

    Speaking to Al Jazeera in Geneva, UN humanitarian coordinator Martin Griffiths said the UN wanted to make sure the money went directly to those humanitarians on the ground who are delivering services to the Afghan people, calling the situation “very dire”...

    ...Beijing last week promised $31m worth of food and health supplies, and on Friday, said it would send a first batch of three million coronavirus vaccines.

    Pakistan sent supplies such as cooking oil and medicine to authorities in Kabul, and called for the unfreezing of Afghanistan’s assets...

    ...Both China and Russia said the main burden of helping Afghanistan out of crisis should lie with Western countries.

    “The US and its allies have a greater obligation to extend economic, humanitarian and livelihood assistance,” said Chen Xu, China’s ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva.

    The US ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, told the conference Washington was providing nearly $64m in new humanitarian assistance for Afghanistan.

    “Let us commit today to meeting this urgent appeal for financial support, commit to standing by humanitarian workers as they do their all-important work, and to stepping up humanitarian action in Afghanistan so we can save the lives of Afghans in need,” she said.

    Meanwhile, France said it will contribute 100 million euros ($118 million) to the UN’s flash appeal....

    ...About a third of the $606m being sought would be used by the UN World Food Programme, which found that 93 percent of the 1,600 Afghans it surveyed in August and September were not consuming sufficient food, mostly because they could not get access to cash to pay for it.

    “It’s now a race against time and the snow to deliver life-saving assistance to the Afghan people who need it most,” said WFP Deputy Regional Director Anthea Webb.

    “We are quite literally begging and borrowing to avoid food stocks running out.”

    The World Health Organization, another UN agency that is part of the appeal, is seeking to shore up hundreds of health facilities at risk of closure after donors backed out....
    UNQUOTE

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Wakakakakakaka…

      U do believe in ALL those fake news!

      Just remember yr uncle Sam & his allies have vowed to blockage ANY aids, humanitarian or otheteuse, to Taliban Afghanistan!

      Oooop could it be yr f*cked "cakap tak serupa bikin" in a terbalik manner.

      Delete
  4. "Short-sighted politicians?"

    How it's going to to gel with that earlier proclamation of

    "Politicians in many democracies tend to focus mainly on short-term gains"??

    These politikus ain't no short-sighted as the writer has claimed.

    Due to the inherent nature of demoNcracy, these selected representatives may be out of office at the next elections. So rather than thinking of their country’s strategic vision over the next 30 years, all too often they prefer to boost their own power and pockets over the next 30 months.

    "So be careful of blowback"!!!

    The writer is talking to a bunch of ketuanan elite playing on the meme-ed serf attitude towards their race & religion while profiteering themselves!

    "It’s often said that those who sow the wind, shall reap the whirlwind"!!??

    Do they care? They just want to reap their showcased opulences NOW while expecting their converted acolytes dreaming about that 72 houris waiting for them at the river of wine in afterlife!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Blurred mfer, it's a war going on in Panjshir!

    Sad, cruel & unnecessary collateral damages r a given - committed by both waring parties while in a blink of seconds friends turned foes!

    Kabul is calm & peaceful now unlike the days before the Yankee & his alliances ran with shame.

    BTW did u shed a tear for those innocent Afghans tortured& killed by the Yankee alliance forces in their tour of duties?

    ReplyDelete
  6. There was a war going on last 20 years in Afghanistan.

    Last week Telly-ban killed 4 protestors in Kabul, 2 weeks ago ISIS-K killed and injured hundreds with suicidal bomb. Kabul then was supposedly under Telly-ban jaga.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. So?

      What's yr point?

      Only Taliban atrocities r worth yr fart right?

      Don't forget too that he uncle Sam's drone had mistakenly killed a family of 10 with 7 children right under the nose of the Taliban controlled Kabul.

      Delete
  7. https://www.aninews.in/news/world/asia/healthcare-system-in-afghanistan-on-edge-of-collapse20210913230507%3famp=1

    Reality has a way of exposing itself , no matter how hard you try to spin.

    The heavy propaganda being spread today is that the Yanks and their allies did nothing good in Afghanistan.

    If that were true, then nothing much bad will happen in Afghanistan after the Yanks and the Pommies left.


    We shall see...over now to the CCP.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Wakakakakaka…

      Why should CCP or any other entities pick up the shits left behind by the Yanks?

      "The heavy propaganda being spread today is that the Yanks and their allies did nothing good in Afghanistan"

      Oooop… propagandas!!??

      All those happenstances now occurring in Afghanistan ain't handiworks of yr uncle Sam!

      Old moneyed mfer, indeed we shall see as the karma unfolds.

      Delete