Fadhli says low non-Malay turnout could help PN win Ayer Keroh
Fadhli says low non-Malay turnout could help PN win Ayer Keroh
DAP has held the Ayer Keroh state seat in Melaka since 2008.
Speaking as a co-host on the Keluar Sekejap podcast, Fadhli said Barisan Nasional (BN) could win 21 seats and PN three, assuming a 70% transfer of votes between the coalitions at the Nov 14 polls.
He said Pakatan Harapan (PH) could lose Ayer Keroh – which DAP has held since 2008 – if vote transfer between the electoral allies reached 80% or 90%.
PH’s incumbent assemblyman Kerk Chee Yee faces a four-cornered contest for the Ayer Keroh seat against PN’s Michael Gan, Bersatu’s Hamnaim Mohamad and Bersama’s Muhaimin Lau Abdullah.
Ayer Keroh is the only one of the three mixed constituencies in Melaka previously held by DAP that remains in the party’s hands. The other two – Bemban and Duyong – were lost to PN and BN in the 2021 election.
“If non-Malay voters don’t come out, it’s not impossible for us to win Ayer Keroh,” said Fadhli.
“It could be Chennah number two. If BN could win Chennah… it’s not impossible that we can win Ayer Keroh if non-Malay voters don’t come out.”
DAP secretary-general Loke Siew Fook lost Chennah to MCA’s Siow Kong Choon by 688 votes in the Negeri Sembilan election in August, failing in his bid to serve as its assemblyman for a fourth consecutive term.
Fadhli said PN’s other key targets in Melaka included Machap and Bukit Katil, where he believed the combined votes for PN and BN could give PN an advantage.
He said Bukit Katil would be a closely watched seat, noting that it was previously won by Adly Zahari, PH’s candidate for chief minister.
Fadhli also said campaigning on social media had already intensified, and that Bukit Katil would be a “hot seat”.
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