Thursday, January 11, 2024

Are those who come after the R-A-H-M-A-N prophecy cursed?




Why it is difficult to install Tok Mat as the next Prime Minister


by Nehru Sathiamoorthy


When PAS, Bersatu and Umno ruled as a coalition during Muhyiddin Yassin’s and Ismail Sabri’s reign, their internal conflict of interest brought Muhyiddin Yassin down within 17 months and Ismail Sabri within 15 months. Even if Tok Mat were to reign as the Prime Minister of Malaysia, it is most likely that his reign will collapse within 2 years for the same reasons that Muhyiddin Yassin and Ismail Sabri’s reign collapsed.



I have always said that the biggest problem with the opposition is that it does not have a leader that it can offer the country as an option to replace Anwar, and this can be seen by blogger Raja Petra of Malaysia-Today’s claim that the 121 MPs who have lost confidence in Anwar’s leadership, are touting UMNO deputy president Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan (Tok Mat) as his replacement.

Tok Mat, is just the Deputy President of Umno. The president of Umno is Zahid Hamidi. Zahid Hamidi, for the lack of a better word, is likely a die-hard supporter of Anwar who will go all out to keep Anwar Ibrahim in power. It is yet unclear how Tok Mat can replace Anwar as the Prime Minister of Malaysia, when he is not even the head of his party, while the head of his party will almost certainly oppose the move.

Before Tok Mat can replace Anwar, he will first have to replace Zahid Hamidi as the president of Umno, and for that, party elections need to be called. Considering that the Umno election was just held less than a year ago, the opportunity to replace Zahid Hamidi as the president of Umno via elections is not going to appear for a few more years to come.

As for whether there is a way for Tok Mat to topple Zahid Hamidi as the President of Umno without requiring party elections to be called, well, this is a convoluted argument. Some, like Umno Supreme council member Isham Jalil, are saying it is possible via a referendum, but even if what they are saying is true theoretically, it is probably not going to be easy to do so, for the simple reason that the way they propose is a novel and extraordinary way that has never been applied before.

Even if perchance, Zahid Hamidi is toppled and Tok Mat is able to replace him, there is still the question as to whether Tok Mat would be installed as the prime minister of Malaysia, on account the support he will receive from his coalition partners. To install Tok Mat as the next Prime Minister of Malaysia, Umno will need to join forces with Bersatu and Pas, but there is a question as to why Bersatu and Pas should support the Umno president as the next PM of Malaysia, when Umno will then be the smallest member of the three-party coalition.

The President of Bersatu, Muhyiddin, was a former Prime Minister of Malaysia and is still likely the front runner of the opposition to replace Anwar as the Prime Minister of Malaysia. According to Raja Petra, Muhyiddin is no longer interested in becoming the PM, but this is difficult to believe, on account of it being contrary to the nature of a politician. Muhyiddin might be willing to throw in the towel when it seems impossible for him to become the PM again, but when the opportunity is within reach, it is doubtful that he will not attempt to seize it. Even if he himself doesn’t want to seize it, which is itself doubtful, his supporters and subordinates will almost certainly persuade him to seize it for their sake.

Pas on the other hand, with 43 MPs, is the single biggest individual party in the country. It has its own candidates who have shown a willingness and desire to become the next PM of the country. They have no reason to give way to Tok Mat or Umno, and have every reason to expect that Tok Mat and UMNO to give way to them.

Even if perchance, Tok Mat manages to prevail convince Pas and Bersatu to support his candidacy as the next Prime Minister of Malaysia, his reign will likely be marred by the same problems that prematurely collapsed the Muhyiddin Yassin and Ismail Sabri Administration earlier.

PAS, Bersatu and Umno are all Malay parties that are all fishing in the same pond. When they ruled as a coalition during Muhyiddin Yassin’s and Ismail Sabri’s reign, their internal conflict of interest brought Muhyiddin Yassin down within 17 months and Ismail Sabri within 15 months. Even if Tok Mat were to reign as the Prime Minister of Malaysia with the support of PAS, Bersatu and Umno, it is most likely that his reign will collapse within 2 years for the same reasons that Muhyiddin Yassin and Ismail Sabri’s reign collapsed.

To be absolutely honest, all this uncertainty and instability in Malaysian politics is making my mind gravitate towards the supernatural. Since Najib, who represents the letter N in the RAHMAN prophecy, fell in 2018, all subsequent Prime Ministers who have replaced him have been cursed with the inability to complete their term.

Considering the headwind that Anwar Ibrahim’s government is facing just one year after its reign, it is almost certain that the unity government is also going to be beset by all sorts of trials and tribulations to arrive at the end of 2024 in one piece.

All the Prime Ministers named in the RAHMAN prophecy have carried the legacy of the prime minister before them. Since the RAHMAN prophecy ended, the 4 prime Ministers that followed, namely Mahathir, Muhyiddin, Ismail Sabri and Anwar, are also tied to the legacy of Tunku, in one way or another.

Considering the instability and uncertainty that inflicts all the non-RAHMAN Prime Ministers that we have had, I am starting to believe, for supernatural reasons, that until we have a Prime Minister that is completely or sufficiently free from the legacy of past, we might not be able to establish a stable government that will be able to reign for at least one full term.

1 comment:

  1. When UMNO Najib lost power in 2018, it was a case of Humpty Dumpty having a great fall, and all the rest of the politicos in the country are not able to cobble together a solid government.

    Actually , Mahathir had a solid good event after GE14.
    But he himself abhored the construct of that government, and we had the case of a PM constantly working to undermine his own government.
    A self-coup.

    ReplyDelete