“PKR in troubled waters as even Tambun deemed unsafe for PMX to defend, may even move to Batu”
DETRACTORS are seemingly having a heyday trolling PKR and its president Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim after a leaked internal analysis by the party pointed to Tambun which holds the ticket to Malaysia’s premiership being relegated to being one of the deemed 17 marginal seats as the 16th General Election (GE16) looms.
A similar fate bestowed Permatang Pauh – once cherished as the fortress to PMX – which eldest daughter and reigning PKR deputy president failed to defend in GE15 after being humiliated by PAS’ newcomer Muhammad Fawwaz Mohamad Jan in a four-corner fight.
Editor’s Note: Malaysiakini has yesterday (May 5) exposed an internal PKR strategic analysis for GE16 entitled “GE16 Strategic Analysis: Tier-Based Summary” which shows that PKR is on the defensive with its grip on key seats steadily eroding.
The analysis which set its sight on 66 parliamentary seats identified as PKR’s main focus in GE16 was presented at the Bandar Utama 11 Community Hall in Petaling Jaya on May 2 which was attended by nearly 900 party leaders nationwide.
Recount that PKR only won 31 out of the 81 parliamentary seats contested in the November 2022 national polls, a huge setback from 47 won in GE14 yet still able to helm the Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition despite ally DAP having won 40 seats.
This prompted Malay language media portal AM Daily to report that rumours are rife that PMX may eventually be shifting his focus to the Batu parliamentary seat, one of the seven seats categorised as “Tier 1: Strong Fortress” based on current support trends.
“Grassroots talk and political observers are beginning to link this possibility as a ‘reset positioning’ strategy to ensure that the main leadership position is not compromised in the expected tight GE1,” it contended,
Kajian politik terkini mula menggoncang keyakinan apabila Parlimen Tambun dilihat bukan lagi kubu selamat buat Anwar Ibrahim dan Parti Keadilan Rakyat menjelang PRU16.
Dapatan ini membuka naratif baharu bahawa gelombang sokongan di kawasan itu semakin tidak menentu, sekali gus memberi isyarat awal bahawa pertandingan akan datang bukan lagi ‘walk in the park’.
Dalam bahasa mudah, Tambun kini mula berubah daripada kubu kuat kepada medan pertempuran sebenar.
...See more“GE16 will be a real test not only for PKR but also for Anwar himself in maintaining his influence and power continuity in the eyes of the rakyat.”
Another Malay language media portal Arus Malaysia pointed to the internal animosity as evidenced by PKR being split into the “Damai” camp of Nurul Izzah and the “Hiruk camp” of former party deputy president Datuk Serti Rafizi Ramli.
“The majority of the comfortable seats that have been the party’s ‘permanent reserves’ are allegedly controlled by groups that are pro-Rafizi Ramli,” it remarked in a FB post.
Kajian terbaharu mengenai kerusi-kerusi yang bakal ditandingi PKR dalam PRU akan datang membuka satu realiti yang tidak boleh dipandang ringan peta kekuatan parti itu kini dilihat tidak lagi seimbang.
Majoriti kerusi selesa yang selama ini menjadi “simpanan tetap” parti didakwa banyak dikuasai oleh kelompok yang pro kepada Rafizi Ramli.
Ini sekali gus mencetuskan persoalan besar tentang hala tuju PKR, sama ada ia masih bergerak sebagai satu pasukan atau sudah mula berpecah ...
See more“This raises big questions about PKR’s direction of whether the party is still moving as one team or has begun to split into camps … This is PKR’s real dilemma of not anymore facing external opponents but a challenge from within which may be even more dangerous.”
Referring to the Malaysiakini exposé, Madani critic Datuk Eric See-To expressed concern that most of the current seats held by PKR’s top brass are either deemed “Tier 2B: Marginal” Seats” or “Tier 3: Difficult Seats”.
“This means that even the PKR president who’s also the PM seat is not considered safe by the party’s own internal analysis. If the PM’s seat is marginal, that’s not a ‘small wave’. That’s an emergency,” observed the former Barisan Nasional (BN) strategic communications deputy director.
Ini analisis dalaman PKR sendiri. Nampaknya mereka sedang goyang.
Untuk konteks, pada PRU15 tahun 2022, PKR hanya menang 31 daripada 81 kerusi Parlimen yang ditandingi. Ini satu kejatuhan besar berbanding PRU14 tahun 2018, apabila PKR menang 47 kerusi.
Menurut Malaysiakini, lebih lima sumber parti mengakui bahawa kemerosotan prestasi PKR sejak 2018 menjadi sebab utama analisis “tiering” ini dibuat. Tujuannya ialah untuk mengenal pasti kawasan yang semakin rapuh akibat perubah...
See more“As for Permatang Pauh, the symbolic seat of the Anwar family and PKR for decades, it remains in the marginal category. It used to be a sacred stronghold. Even now, there’s no certainty if it can be wrestled back.”
Likewise, that of vice-presidents Datuk Seri R. Ramanan (Sungai Buloh) and Datuk Seri Amirudin Shari (Gombak) fared even worse given they fall under “Tier 3: Difficult Seats”.
“This is the real red zone. Both Gombak and Sungai Buloh are difficult seats. Both are not small seats,” jibed the loyalist of disgraced former premier Datyk Seri Najib Razak.
Gombak is held by Amirudin who is also the Selangor MB (Menteri Besar). Sungai Buloh is held by Ramanan who is currently the Human Resources Minister).
So PKR’s problem is not confined to sets that they previously lost. The problem has reached the seats of their own senior leaders.
Based on their own internal analysis, PKR is actually shaking. Not just shaking a little but shaking to the extent where they have to divide seats according to the panic level. – May 6, 2026
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