US intel indicates war between Israel and Hezbollah inching closer

 

US intel indicates war between Israel and Hezbollah inching closer

A large-scale confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah is likely to break out in the next several weeks if Jerusalem and Hamas fail to reach a cease-fire deal in Gaza, U.S. intelligence indicates.

U.S. officials are trying to convince both sides to deescalate — a task that would be significantly easier with a cease-fire in place in Gaza. But that agreement is in tense negotiations and U.S. officials are not confident Israel and Hamas will agree to the deal on the table in the near future. Meanwhile, the Israel Defense Forces and Hezbollah have drafted battle plans and are in the process of trying to procure additional weapons, according to two senior U.S. officials briefed on the intelligence.

Both sides have publicly said they do not want to go to war, but senior Biden officials increasingly believe that intense fighting is likely to break out despite efforts to try and prevent it.

The risk is higher now than at any other point in recent weeks, according to another senior U.S. official, who, like others in this story, was granted anonymity to speak freely about sensitive intelligence.

A war between Israel and Hezbollah could ignite a conflict that forces the U.S. to help defend Jerusalem and pushes the Biden administration to engage more deeply in a region it has for years tried to leave. It also risks another humanitarian disaster, punching the aid community at a time when it is already stretched thin and trying to manage the crisis in Gaza. — Politico

Our Take: Netanyahu is completely botching this military campaign. He is making rookie mistakes that even a child playing a real-time strategy war simulation video game understands.

He has failed to properly wrap up the Gaza adventure, or even negotiate a cease-fire with Hamas, and yet he is opening up a second front in the north. Is he trying to get Israel pinched in a double-envelopment? What does he think Hamas is going to do, now that the IDF is reportedly pulling their armor (tanks) out of Rafah and sending them north to join der blitzkrieg?

As Colonel Macgregor has told Judge Napolitano, Hamas has not only replenished all of their lost personnel, they have now expanded their political support into the West Bank. That means that Hamas can theoretically not only launch attacks from the south in Gaza, but also from the east in the West Bank.

That means that the IDF could potentially be facing a THREE front war, with two of them (Hamas) being asymmetric conflicts, which will be extremely difficult to maintain, long-term.

The fight with Hezbollah will be a more conventional affair. In fact, that fight will be more intense and difficult than anything they have faced thus far in Gaza. And that doesn't even account for the Wagner Group, Russia, Iran, or North Korea, all of whom would likely get involved on the ground and fight alongside Hezbollah.

The US is now announcing that they are moving two aircraft carriers into the region. Looks like the stage is set for World War 3...

...accelerate. — GhostofBasedPatrickHenry

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Biden administration moves toward allowing American military contractors to deploy to Ukraine

The Biden administration is moving toward lifting a de facto ban on American military contractors deploying to Ukraine, four US officials familiar with the matter told CNN, to help the country’s military maintain and repair US-provided weapons systems.

The change would mark another significant shift in the Biden administration’s Ukraine policy, as the US looks for ways to give Ukraine’s military an upper hand against Russia.

The policy is still being worked on by administration officials and has not received final sign-off yet from President Joe Biden, officials said.

“We have not made any decisions and any discussion of this is premature,” said one administration official. “The president is absolutely firm that he will not be sending US troops to Ukraine.”

Once approved, the change would likely be enacted this year, officials said, and would allow the Pentagon to provide contracts to American companies for work inside Ukraine for the first time since Russia invaded in 2022. Officials said they hope it will speed up the maintenance and repairs of weapons systems being used by the Ukrainian military.

Over the last two years, Biden has insisted that all Americans, and particularly US troops, stay far away from the Ukrainian frontlines. The White House has been determined to limit both the danger to Americans and the perception, particularly by Russia, that the US military is engaged in combat there. The State Department has explicitly warned Americans against traveling to Ukraine since 2022. — CNN

Our Take: Moving forward, we should always refer to the CIA as the State Department, to gaslight the naive public into understanding how sinister and duplicitous that agency is.

The State Department is using their mercenaries to attack Russia and destabilize America.

ISIS is not a "radical Islamic terrorist" organization. I know this because I have personally interviewed two separate veterans who served on High-Value Target (HVT) teams, one in Afghanistan and one in Iraq, and both said that in ten years of raiding ISIS safe houses to extract terrorist leaders, they never once found a Quran or any Islamic prayer materials.

They never found any evidence that a single Muslim lived at any of these locations.

What they did find was an abundance of western pornography, video game consoles, DVD's, and other "contraband" that would be extremely difficult to acquire in remote parts of the Middle East—unless you had friends in the West.

President Putin has also said on multiple occasions that ISIS fighters are highly-paid mercenaries, not religious zealots. (This is exactly what the two HVT veterans told me, as well. They go out and find the degenerate losers in any village, and offer them US cash to join their gang.)

The State Department has been waging kinetic war against the Sovereign Alliance for years. Now, it appears they intend to wage kinetic war against the American People on US soil.

Now is not the time to panic. Now is the time to keep a cool head. Those who panic are the ones who will lose. Whenever chaos erupts, always look for the guy in the room who is calm. He is the one who is going to make it. Be that guy. — GhostofBasedPatrickHenry