OutSyed The Box
Saturday, December 24, 2022
TRANSPORTATION EXPERT : ECRL CAN BE BUILT FOR HALF THE PRICE RM43 BILLION !! PLUS THE MYSTERY OF THE RM86 BILLION
Here is a comment by Dr Rosli Azad Khan PhD (picture), a transportation expert, that appeared in The Malaysian Insight on 23rd December, 2022.
https://www.themalaysianinsight.com/s/419171
THE new price tag for the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) announced two days ago is way too high.
Surprisingly, it is very different from all the previous figures quoted by Dr Mahathir, Anthony Loke and Wee Ka Siong, the latter taking over responsibility for the project in March 2020.
Even after Wee amended the route, the south alignment was swapped back to the northern route, the cost quoted was only RM55 billion.
So, where has the new figure of RM75 billion come from?
A more mind-boggling figure was that the original figure was said to be RM86 billion (a figure not previously published), thus the current government is claiming to have saved the country of RM11 billion.
Really? This is unbelievable. Too many figures, have been bandied about for this ECRL drama.
Many people think that they are all fabricated or possibly fraudulent, which have caused all the confusion and trust deficit in the government.
Based on the current cost per km (worldwide) for a single-track railway line of a standard gauge, I would be very happy to undertake the construction of this 665km track for only half of the original price of RM86 billion.
Yes, I am very serious and I think I can deliver a good product, save the government about RM43 billion and still make a tidy profit from it, too.
Economic benefits
I will not only reduce the government expenditure but I will also provide job opportunities for 10,000 local workers, create jobs for 1,000 local technical staff and will offer positions for 500 local engineers.
I will be able to offer at least 50 local subcontractors to undertake some civil engineering project like site preparations, earth works, civil and drainage, as well as the supply of equipment and basic materials.
My RM43 billion contract payments will remain and circulated in Malaysia to pay for all the local employees, technicians, engineers, managers, subcontractors and suppliers.
At least, the money will not flow out of Malaysia.
The contract value will be injected into the local economy, circulated and every local worker will be flush with cash from monthly salaries and wages for the next five years.
I will employ mainly local people in Kelantan, Terengganu and Pahang, and in five years their standard of living would be elevated, at par with those in Selangor or Penang.
I will make sure that most of the construction materials are sourced locally and not imported from China.
All the machinery and equipment will also be sourced locally, including all the basic building materials such as gravel, sand, steel bars, cement, rocks and bricks.
Manufacturing Facilities
I will set up a manufacturing plant in Terengganu to build railway coaches.
From the contract price, I will import railway wagons, upon which I will commission local industrial designers to build modern coaches for the comfort of passengers.
In this way, I will save the country further (foreign exchange) outflows. It will stop Malaysia from spending more funds to import expensive railway coaches in the future and at the same time create more jobs for local graduates.
We have a sufficient market, which includes LRT, MRT, ERL and KTMB. In the future we could also export our locally made coaches to other countries.
Since we don’t produce locomotives locally, I will import those from established loco producers, preferably from low cost countries like Spain, Romania or Hungary, and put in conditions that they have to bring in components, so that assembly will be carried out here.
Local workers can be trained and taught the right skills to undertake the assembly.
Through this transfer of technology and technical co-operation, our future workers will be more competent and able to maintain the locomotives.
This is another saving, especially in light of the continuous problems in maintenance faced by LRT, MRT and KTMB.
I will also train the locals to be involved in rail operation and management, focusing on their talents, knowledge, experience during construction and competency in train operation.
Funds outflow
I can plan this project better than the current contractor.
They obviously did not plan the alignment well because half of their route and construction sites are now under water due to floods in Kelantan and Terengganu.
You can imagine what will happen to this railway line in future.
Chinese contractors reaped all the financial benefits, all the workers are brought from mainland China.
The local economies of Kelantan and Terengganu have not benefited from this massive government expenditure at all. This is much regrettable.
The contracts with the Chinese companies did not specify the participation of local labour.
This speaks volumes of the failure of the previous government.
This new government prides itself about transparency and accountability, so this is the best opportunity to expose all the wrong doings and show commitment to righting them.
This project involves public funds, which should benefit Malaysians and not be given to foreigners.
I know a lot of people are very unhappy indeed, in this season of giving.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year. – December 23, 2022.
* Rosli Khan reads The Malaysian Insight.
* This is the opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of The Malaysian Insight. Article may be edited for brevity and clarity.
My (OutSyed the Box) Comments : We have not recovered from that 1MDB bloodletting where we do not even know how much exactly was lost. Was it RM40 Billion? RM50 Billion?
Here is another project that is running into the tens of billions again. They say 'once bitten twice shy'. Not in Malaysia. Here it is often 'do it again, do it again'.
To all the hypocrite NGOs and the hypocritical "reformers" - your hypocrisy is shining through at last. Your silence is deafening.
Before when Najib announced the ECRL at RM60 Billion you were all kicking and screaming at the "bloated" cost. Now at RM75 Billion, it seems to have procured your silence. As I said before the society has no morality. That includes you.
I received a message today that said the following:
".. my friend who is a PH supporter said they are not going to last long".
What is my view? My nigga is better than your nigga does not work.
What has been proven is that those who stick their fingers in the cookie jar can get shoved into the oven.
By Syed Akbar Ali at December 24, 2022
It is way, way, way too late, easily 7 years too late to talk about saving money for the ECRL by sourcing materials, manpower and engineering locally, as well as saving on the alignment
ReplyDeleteMethinks this "transportation expert", as well as the Syed Kotak idiot has an agenda to just attack the Anwar Administration.
The contract was signed more than 7 years ago with the China railway corporation. It is possible to renegotiate tweaks in the contracts but not the wholesale base of the contract.
That would be tantamount to creating an international incident, which the China government will not take likely. It is unwise to provoke the China government.
I have followed the Syed Kotak blog for as long as he has been blogging, and for the entire duration he has been hostile to Anwar Ibrahim.
ReplyDeleteOf course, in those days, he was coming from the direction of him being a BN/UMNO supporter, and a Malay supremacist (him being barely qualified to call himself a Malay.....). He did change his spots when Mahathir switched to opposing BN/UMNO, but , just like his leader Mahathir, his animosity towards Anwar Ibrahim is permanent.
Any comment the Syed Kotak Idiot says about Anwar Ibrahim is coming from fundamental, unrelenting animus, just like with Mahathir.
Sound like another grand statement after apology to the MRCB Group?
ReplyDeletehttps://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2022/07/01/apology-by-rosli-azad-khan-to-the-mrcb-group/
It is rather strange that a transport expert believes he can complete the ECRL at half the price.
ReplyDeleteWhat he is implying is; there is a lot of leakages.
One friend commented he is not surprised at the implied leakages as those in charge seem to be infused with the UMNO DNA.
Say what you like, like the 1MDB, we are talking about billions here.
That's really thinking big!
Pls Dsai take up instructions for the benefits of the country.
ReplyDeleteIf the affair/business of a nation (note : the whole body system concept, not just an individual component) is as so straight forwarding & single-tracked by this engineer, many do-gooder's & altruistic problem solving would be chickenfeed.
ReplyDeleteYet, the REAL world is not so simple as described by this 'engineer' SAN warlord politic, local societal necessities, various public/private land acquisitions so prevalent in a demoNcratic country.
Key example - why there is NO HSR in that land of free & enterprising efficiency known as USofA? Ditto too that sunsetting pommieland? & how many years has a cross country highway been hampered by environmental, local politics considerations in developed EU?
Big mouth in completing the said project by half the publicly mentioned cost. Yet, when the truth is he has zilch idea about real world intricacies despite his so called yrs of engineering background!
A stupid fart ? Or more likely a personal promotion!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9nddmjx0Y6g
ReplyDeleteThe current Transport Minister already made clear the latest quoted cost of RM 75 Billion is an All In cost, including asset compensation, land acquisition, financing interest costs.
These are "secondary costs" but officials would be bullshitting the public if they did not disclose it. You cannot complete the project if you do not budget for and pay the "secondary costs".
The RM 55 Billion that Wee Ka Siong quoted was excluding all these costs, only being direct construction costs.
Anthony Loke quite elegantly did not directly criticise Wee, but anyone who has crafted project budgets for an organisation would know that a proper accounting of the costs requires disclosure of secondary, but definitely mandatory costs incurred, without which the project cannot be completed.
Basically , the previous Finance Minister was hoodwinking the public.
this so called expert is living in his expert dream bubble.. all these jobs he said he will be creating, are they paid min wages? funny how suddenly he came up with this fairytale after so long since the ecrl was announced.. doubted him the moment i read his name is khan.. looks like mahathir is activating his minions huh..
ReplyDelete