Nurul Izzah in peril

As posted several times, my prediction seems to be coming true, that Nurul Izzah will be changing seat from her Lembah Pantai to somewhere safer.

Mind, not that requires a rocket scientist to foresee her plight in GE14, but it seems from news report that Raja Nong Chik has been investing much time in the Lembah constituency and he now stands a good chnace of wresting that parliamentary seat from Nurul.

Her 2013 victory in Lembah Pantai was only with a majority of 1,847 in a total ballot of 61,048 cast. Thus effectively Raja Nong Chik lost by only 924 winning votes. I heard some EC sakti-ness will occur under the current re-delineation process, so poor Nurul could possibly become another politically moribund Snow White. Where then are the bloody 7 dwarfs (can also be spelt as 'dwarves')?

MM Online today publishes Tipped to replace Nurul Izzah, Fahmi tempers expectations in Lembah Pantai which tells us clearly that Nurul will abandon the sinking ship.

Fahmi Fadzil PKR Comm Chief

As she is a precious princess (of Anwar Ibrahim and the so-called PKR Reformasi) she must be given a safe safe safe seat. But which PKR seat will be safe now that PAS will be playing spoiler in Permatang Pauh and elsewhere (as it did in GE13 in Kota Damansara).

I don't think she'll be safe in Perlis, Kedah, NS, Malacca, Johor, Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang, which leaves us Selangor, FT, Penang and Perak.

But she has mucho enemies in PKR Selangor which is ruled by Azmin Ali. 

Currently PKR holds the following seats:

Selangor

P097 – Selayang – William Leong Jee Keen
P098 – Gombak – Mohamed Azmin Ali
P099 – Ampang – Zuraida Kamarudin
P100 – Pandan – Rafizi Ramli
P104 – Kelana Jaya – Wong Chen
P105 – Petaling Jaya Selatan – Hee Loy Sian
P107 – Subang – Sivarasa Rasiah
P109 – Kapar – Manivannan Gowindasamy
P112 – Kuala Langat – Abdullah Sani Abdul Hamid

Federal Territory

P115 – Batu – Tian Chua

P116 – Wangsa Maju – Tan Kee Kwong
P121 – Lembah Pantai – Nurul Izzah Anwar

Penang

P044 – Permatang Pauh – Wan Azizah Wan Ismail

P047 – Nibong Tebal – Mansor Othman
P052 – Bayan Baru – Sim Tze Tzin

Perak

P071 – Gopeng – Lee Boon Chye
P074 – Lumut – Mohamad Imran Abdul Hamid

I doubt Azmin's inner core will surrender any of their Selangor seats, though mind you, Azmin himself is quite unsafe in Gombak.

And with Rafizi claiming arrogantly that PKR will win Pandan even if its candidate is a cat, miaow, will Nurul chance herself in the Pandan seat, bearing in mind the Pandan DAP, a typical source of support for PKR, had closed shop earlier this month, shifting their loyalties now to PRM and possibly Jenny what's-her-name?

I will be brave and politically incorrect to say that Nurul will be most safe in a Chinese majority constituency, that is, if she wants to be very very very comfy in GE14, from both BN and her intra party enemies.

The safest seat for a Pakatan person in Peninsular is P.122 Seputeh (to be renamed Sri Petaling). It's currently held by sweetie Teresa Kok who won her seat in 2013 with the biggest majority in Malaysia, to wit, 51,552 votes in a total turnout of 71,859.

Sweetie Teresa crushed her MCA opponent Nicole Wong Siaw Ting who somehow managed to secure 13.9% of the votes. Call it a landslide or tsunamic victory, sweetie did it since 1999.

Nicole Wong 

I heard sweetie Teresa may be part of the DAP Kamikaze Division in GE14 and thus move out of Seputeh. Princess Nurul can put in a bid for P.122 Seputeh (to be renamed Sri Petaling). Be quick or a grumpy 93-year old man who too wants to be safe may appropriate it, wakakaka.